The law passed mandates the passing of AV; and I can't imagine any government would dare back out on the will of a referendum but I suppose it might just happen - if, say, we had an election before 2015 and the winning party ran on a platform of a different system.
If AV loses there is little hope of us seeing another electoral reform opportunity within the next twenty years or so because FPTP favours those parties likely to be in power and they will be able to point to the failure of AV as a lack of appetite for change. I'm not sure AV winning would make it much different from that (we can't tamper too often with the system) but at least we get AV in the meantime.
no subject
Date: 2011-04-13 10:22 am (UTC)If AV loses there is little hope of us seeing another electoral reform opportunity within the next twenty years or so because FPTP favours those parties likely to be in power and they will be able to point to the failure of AV as a lack of appetite for change. I'm not sure AV winning would make it much different from that (we can't tamper too often with the system) but at least we get AV in the meantime.